Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 67348.196476 71260.043489 75178.599557 79395.423641 83801.944179 88267.799642 93132.949410
2025-03-23 61183.325240 67173.910905 73350.743339 80186.138145 87528.918205 95170.240811 103713.904074
2025-03-30 56758.380411 64172.978225 71994.604648 80841.076285 90548.760010 100857.292634 112611.436381
2025-04-06 52999.303607 61434.980826 70506.856094 80956.305438 92627.118037 105227.570527 119826.373802
2025-04-13 49816.062189 59032.340554 69113.288339 80911.578925 94291.924612 108945.682724 126156.680751
2025-04-20 47912.494647 57890.420955 68968.202895 82114.457570 97222.125828 113971.842622 133875.363571
2025-04-27 46249.953068 56889.128614 68863.324410 83254.223480 99991.506061 118753.980489 141283.266691
2025-05-04 44458.049251 55619.939716 68345.555817 83822.419998 102025.376539 122641.439254 147636.819397
2025-05-11 42529.149991 54083.193556 67420.160305 83825.795275 103327.476447 125629.891327 152916.950389
2025-05-18 40892.674549 52812.292415 66733.017911 84040.156405 104818.815051 128796.943430 158382.272101
2025-05-25 39330.410291 51557.207836 65997.986696 84135.539795 106117.971107 131703.002296 163522.855407
2025-06-01 38349.802112 50966.650311 66022.675445 85109.962106 108443.359189 135812.060452 170095.486845
2025-06-08 36749.208807 49562.093415 65021.309943 84814.584618 109232.151261 138107.253826 174551.221816
2025-06-15 36007.488892 49207.010224 65290.619123 86065.886379 111902.842654 142677.965535 181778.975184
2025-06-22 35096.957459 48597.171899 65209.124760 86854.930646 113989.657432 146540.542881 188167.480247
2025-06-29 33945.473535 47632.084605 64640.759642 86998.753075 115250.511675 149381.940104 193313.254846
2025-07-06 32779.235234 46604.364535 63953.498407 86956.258860 116250.165176 151885.408510 198041.365525
2025-07-13 32263.593381 46408.719279 64313.019127 88232.496193 118902.779904 156437.866252 205321.568532
2025-07-20 31749.948697 46193.113228 64628.983424 89440.784385 121466.639305 160889.536681 212503.479937
2025-07-27 31010.024408 45646.594599 64490.661050 90043.004298 123247.338446 164362.597465 218479.970317
2025-08-03 30062.038686 44786.659723 63912.301455 90046.594603 124241.031514 166836.964630 223207.307872
2025-08-10 29250.157662 44085.966874 63520.633447 90273.760807 125508.335607 169651.602650 228370.849401
2025-08-17 28427.352169 43343.735608 63049.667615 90374.839322 126596.430992 172232.080319 233243.480442